NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU CALBA
Points 72.4 69.6
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 27.8
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.3
Shooting LBSU CALBA
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 59.6
Field Goal % 45.5% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 41.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 12.5 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 69.6%
Ball Control LBSU CALBA
Rebounds 37.9 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.3
Turnovers 8.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.0
Steals 5.5 3.6
Fouls 14.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU CALBA
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 71.8
% of Possessions with LBSU CALBA
2 Point Attempt 58.1% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.3% 30.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.0%
Turnover 12.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU CALBA
Shot Blocked 3.5% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 28.5%