NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU LMU
Points 74.7 74.7
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 32.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.9
Shooting LBSU LMU
Field Goals Made 27.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 60.9
Field Goal % 43.9% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 16.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.7%
Ball Control LBSU LMU
Rebounds 38.5 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.1
Turnovers 6.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.5
Steals 5.6 3.1
Fouls 13.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU LMU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 70.3
% of Possessions with LBSU LMU
2 Point Attempt 56.5% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 33.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 18.7%
Turnover 9.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU LMU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 27.5%