NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU CSN
Points 76.2 73.8
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 20.3
Points From Free Throws 20.1 14.6
Shooting LBSU CSN
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 61.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 20.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 21.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 67.7%
Ball Control LBSU CSN
Rebounds 40.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.4
Turnovers 11.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.7
Steals 8.1 6.3
Fouls 16.3 20.8

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU CSN
Total Possessions 77.1
Effective Scoring Chances 78.4 74.4
% of Possessions with LBSU CSN
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 27.0% 21.1%
Turnover 14.4% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU CSN
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 26.9%