NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU CSN
Points 68.7 79.8
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 23.9 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 20.7
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.9
Shooting LBSU CSN
Field Goals Made 20.5 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 49.0 59.8
Field Goal % 41.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.0 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 26.4 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 23.2
Free Throw % 75.9% 72.9%
Ball Control LBSU CSN
Rebounds 28.8 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 13.7
Turnovers 15.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 5.4 7.3
Fouls 17.3 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Long Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU CSN
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 74.9
% of Possessions with LBSU CSN
2 Point Attempt 32.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 20.7%
Player Fouled 28.2% 23.8%
Turnover 20.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU CSN
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 38.8%