NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU HAW
Points 72.1 74.4
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 11.4 30.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.9
Shooting LBSU HAW
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 55.7
Field Goal % 43.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.6
Free Throw % 71.5% 72.5%
Ball Control LBSU HAW
Rebounds 36.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.5
Turnovers 9.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.9
Steals 6.6 3.9
Fouls 16.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU HAW
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 68.1
% of Possessions with LBSU HAW
2 Point Attempt 56.0% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 32.8%
Player Fouled 24.1% 21.9%
Turnover 12.6% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU HAW
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 21.9%