NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU CSF
Points 72.8 69.1
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 25.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 14.5
Shooting LBSU CSF
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 55.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.4
Free Throw % 71.5% 71.1%
Ball Control LBSU CSF
Rebounds 40.3 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 7.8
Turnovers 10.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.6
Steals 6.3 5.9
Fouls 15.5 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU CSF
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 68.0
% of Possessions with LBSU CSF
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 29.8%
Player Fouled 24.7% 21.6%
Turnover 14.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU CSF
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 21.6%