NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU UCSD
Points 76.1 78.0
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 34.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.6
Shooting LBSU UCSD
Field Goals Made 28.0 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 61.5
Field Goal % 46.4% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.4
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.1%
Ball Control LBSU UCSD
Rebounds 38.4 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.1
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.2
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 14.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: UCSD

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU UCSD
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 71.9
% of Possessions with LBSU UCSD
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 36.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.5%
Turnover 13.2% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU UCSD
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 24.5%