ATS Situational Trends

Record VALP adv WMU
Season 18-13-0 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-9-0 12-7-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 6-10-0 7-6-0
Away 12-3-0 10-8-0

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Trinity Christian -- W by 39 --
11/10 Home IUPUI -3.5 L by 10 -13.5
11/14 Home WI-Grn Bay -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
11/17 Away Illinois +29.5 L by 23 +6.5
11/21 Home W Illinois -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
11/25 Home Southern -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
11/29 Home Drake +14.0 L by 18 -4.0
12/02 Away Belmont +15.5 L by 9 +6.5
12/06 Away Central Mich +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/09 Away VA Tech +21.5 L by 21 +0.5
12/16 Home Chicago St -3.0 L by 1 -4.0
12/19 Home Samford +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
12/29 Away Elon +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
01/03 Home Bradley +10.5 L by 25 -14.5
01/06 Away IL-Chicago +12.5 L by 6 +6.5
01/10 Home S Illinois +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
01/14 Away Illinois St +10.0 W by 9 +19.0
01/17 Away Evansville +7.0 L by 3 +4.0
01/20 Home IL-Chicago +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
01/24 Away S Illinois +13.5 L by 6 +7.5
01/27 Home Missouri St +4.0 L by 11 -7.0
01/31 Away Drake +19.5 L by 11 +8.5
02/03 Home Evansville -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/07 Away Indiana St +20.5 L by 40 -19.5
02/10 Home Belmont +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
02/14 Home N Iowa +7.5 L by 19 -11.5
02/17 Away Missouri St +13.0 L by 8 +5.0
02/21 Home Indiana St +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/24 Away Murray St +13.0 L by 12 +1.0
02/27 Away N Iowa +16.0 L by 14 +2.0
03/03 Home Illinois St +5.5 W by 3 +8.5
03/07 Neutral Belmont +14.0 L by 25 -11.0

W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home N Dakota St +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
11/11 Home Georgia St +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
11/14 Away Northwestern +23.5 L by 4 +19.5
11/19 Away Ohio St +21.5 L by 17 +4.5
11/24 Neutral SE Louisiana +2.0 W by 1 +3.0
11/25 Neutral Mercer +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/01 Home St. Thomas -3.0 L by 14 -17.0
12/05 Away Notre Dame +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
12/09 Home Youngs St +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
12/16 Away IL-Chicago +11.5 L by 21 -9.5
12/21 Away Cleveland St +9.5 L by 13 -3.5
12/29 Home Aquinas -- W by 56 --
01/02 Away Miami (OH) +5.0 W by 9 +14.0
01/06 Away Buffalo +3.0 W by 5 +8.0
01/09 Home N Illinois -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
01/13 Home Ohio +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
01/16 Away Akron +14.0 L by 11 +3.0
01/20 Away Bowling Grn +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/23 Home E Michigan -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
01/27 Home Central Mich -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
01/30 Away Toledo +11.5 L by 25 -13.5
02/03 Home Ball St -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
02/06 Away Kent St +10.0 L by 2 +8.0
02/10 Away S Mississippi +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
02/17 Away Central Mich +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
02/20 Home Miami (OH) +3.5 W by 19 +22.5
02/24 Home Buffalo -6.0 W by 19 +13.0
02/27 Away E Michigan -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
03/02 Away Ball St +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/05 Home Bowling Grn -2.0 L by 8 -10.0
03/08 Home Akron +9.0 W by 6 +15.0
03/14 Neutral Ohio +9.0 L by 27 -18.0
VALP Spread WMU Spread
VALP -6.0 Open -4.5 High -6.0
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1159 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:

  • The team like Valparaiso won the game 801 times (69.1%).
  • The team like Western Michigan won the game 358 times (30.9%).
  • The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 573-557-29 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1620 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 847-747-26 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.0 -5.5 -6.0
Open -5.0 -5.0 -5.0
History
12/05 01:55 PM -6.0 -- --
12/05 01:55 PM -- -- -6.0
12/05 01:35 PM -- -- -5.5
12/05 01:34 PM -6.0 -- --
12/05 11:55 AM -- -- -5.5
12/05 11:40 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 11:19 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 11:04 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 10:34 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 10:25 AM -- -- -5.5
12/05 10:22 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 09:55 AM -- -- -4.5
12/05 09:52 AM -4.5 -- --
12/05 09:52 AM -- -5.5 --
12/05 09:35 AM -- -- -5.0
12/05 09:28 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 08:13 AM -5.5 -- --
12/05 05:03 AM -- -5.0 --
12/05 02:05 AM -- -- -5.5
12/05 01:22 AM -5.0 -- --
12/04 10:45 PM -- -- -5.5
12/04 10:40 PM -5.0 -- --
12/04 10:15 PM -- -- -5.0
12/04 08:34 PM -5.0 -- --