NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP BEL
Points 67.6 79.8
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 26.7
Points From Free Throws 9.5 12.7
Shooting VALP BEL
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 57.9
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 9.5 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 17.4
Free Throw % 70.2% 73.1%
Ball Control VALP BEL
Rebounds 33.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 7.3
Turnovers 10.2 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.0
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 14.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP BEL
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 68.3
% of Possessions with VALP BEL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.6%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.9%
Turnover 14.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP BEL
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.4%