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Valparaiso at Drake
Wed Jan 22, 2025
7:30pm ET
Des Moines, IA
Valparaiso at Drake: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Drake by 13.5, Total Points: 128
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | DRKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-15-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-1 | 12-11-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 5-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 13-6-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Neutral | Liberty | +10.5 | L by 20 | -9.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Concordia (MI) | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Cleveland St | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Lindenwood | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | E Illinois | -6.5 | W by 28 | +21.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | DePaul | +15.0 | L by 19 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Drake | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | C Michigan | (Pick) | W by 16 | +16.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Ohio St | +21.5 | L by 22 | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | W Michigan | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Calumet | -43.5 | W by 50 | +6.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Bradley | +14.0 | L by 6 | +8.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Missouri St | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | N Iowa | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Indiana St | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Murray St | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Belmont | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois Chicago | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Drake | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Evansville | -7.5 | L by 10 | -17.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | S Illinois | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Illinois St | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Indiana St | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Murray St | +2.0 | L by 18 | -16.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Belmont | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | Missouri St | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | S Illinois | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Bradley | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Illinois Chicago | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/06 | Neutral | Illinois Chicago | +4.0 | W by 17 | +21.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | N Iowa | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Bradley | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
Drake Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | York University (NE) | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | SF Austin | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | FGCU | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Miami | +9.0 | W by 11 | +20.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida Atlantic | +3.0 | W by 12 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Georgia So | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Valparaiso | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | St. Ambrose | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Kansas St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Green Bay | -23.5 | W by 10 | -13.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Belmont | -8.5 | W by 19 | +10.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Illinois Chicago | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Murray St | -10.0 | L by 7 | -17.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Bradley | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Evansville | -15.5 | W by 23 | +7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Illinois St | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Indiana St | -7.5 | W by 18 | +10.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Missouri St | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | N Iowa | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | S Illinois | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Murray St | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Indiana St | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Illinois St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | Bradley | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | Illinois Chicago | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 6 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Evansville | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Missouri St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Illinois | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Belmont | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Bradley | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Missouri | +6.0 | W by 10 | +16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| DRKE -13.5 | Open | -14.0 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1559 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Drake won the game 1418 times (91.0%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 141 times (9.0%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 809-731-19 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4950 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Drake did better against the spread, going 2439-2428-83 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/22 07:13 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:32 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:38 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:41 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:43 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:05 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:53 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:43 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:05 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:52 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:52 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:31 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:29 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
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