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Valparaiso at N Iowa
Wed Jan 25, 2023
8:00pm ET
Cedar Falls, IA
Valparaiso at N Iowa: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northern Iowa by 8, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | UNI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 10-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 9-10-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
N Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | North Texas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Loras | -- | W by 40 | -- |
| 11/19 | Away | S Florida | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.5 | L by 22 | -10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.0 | L by 2 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Stanford | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Belmont | -8.0 | L by 20 | -28.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Richmond | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Toledo | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Prairie View | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Alcorn St | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | N Illinois | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Missouri St | +1.5 | W by 2 | +3.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Indiana St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | IL-Chicago | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Belmont | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Illinois | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Evansville | -13.5 | W by 7 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Bradley | +8.0 | L by 16 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Murray St | -6.0 | L by 28 | -34.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Valparaiso | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Bradley | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Illinois St | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Drake | +2.0 | W by 14 | +16.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Valparaiso | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | S Illinois | +3.0 | W by 12 | +15.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Belmont | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| UNI -8.0 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2770 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Northern Iowa won the game 2166 times (78.2%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 604 times (21.8%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1348-1345-77 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3374 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northern Iowa did better against the spread, going 1671-1632-71 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -8.0 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/25 02:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/25 01:05 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:04 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/25 09:49 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:43 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 09:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 07:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/24 05:07 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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