NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP UNI
Points 65.3 75.2
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 19.9
Points From Free Throws 9.4 15.2
Shooting VALP UNI
Field Goals Made 24.0 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.2
Field Goal % 41.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 21.5
Free Throw % 70.2% 70.8%
Ball Control VALP UNI
Rebounds 31.4 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.1
Turnovers 10.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.0
Steals 5.1 6.0
Fouls 15.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Valparaiso

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP UNI
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 68.0
% of Possessions with VALP UNI
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.9%
Turnover 14.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP UNI
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 25.2%