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Valparaiso at Indiana St
Sat Jan 22, 2022
1:00pm ET
Terre Haute, IN
Valparaiso at Indiana St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Indiana St. by 3, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | INST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 22-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 11-4-1 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 11-11-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Indiana St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Alabama | +17.0 | L by 22 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Rice | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Toledo | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | S Illinois | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Bradley | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | N Illinois | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Indiana | -21.0 | W by 44 | +23.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ball St | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | TN State | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Michigan St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Evansville | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Drake | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Belmont | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | IL-Chicago | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bradley | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Belmont | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Drake | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Valparaiso | -20.5 | W by 40 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Illinois St | -17.5 | L by 13 | -30.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Illinois | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Evansville | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Murray St | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Missouri St | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | N Iowa | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Drake | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 04/02 | Neutral | Utah | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| INST -3.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3231 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Indiana St. won the game 1931 times (59.8%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 1300 times (40.2%).
- The team like Indiana St. did better against the spread, going 1581-1571-79 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4746 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 2351-2302-93 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 01:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/22 12:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 12:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/22 11:19 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/22 10:49 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/22 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/22 08:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/22 07:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/22 05:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/22 05:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/21 08:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 07:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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