NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP INST
Points 66.8 88.7
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 31.1
Points From Free Throws 8.7 15.2
Shooting VALP INST
Field Goals Made 25.4 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 56.8
Field Goal % 40.8% 55.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 67.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 18.8
Free Throw % 70.2% 80.7%
Ball Control VALP INST
Rebounds 28.0 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 6.6
Turnovers 9.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.3
Steals 5.3 5.2
Fouls 15.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP INST
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 67.9
% of Possessions with VALP INST
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 18.0% 21.0%
Turnover 12.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP INST
Shot Blocked 2.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 24.5%