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Valparaiso at Indiana St
Wed Feb 8, 2023
7:00pm ET
Terre Haute, IN
Valparaiso at Indiana St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Indiana St. by 13, Total Points: 147
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | INST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 22-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 11-4-1 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 11-11-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Indiana St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Alabama | +17.0 | L by 22 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Rice | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Toledo | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | S Illinois | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Bradley | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | N Illinois | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Indiana | -21.0 | W by 44 | +23.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ball St | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | TN State | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Michigan St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Evansville | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Drake | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Belmont | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | IL-Chicago | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bradley | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Belmont | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Drake | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Valparaiso | -20.5 | W by 40 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Illinois St | -17.5 | L by 13 | -30.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Illinois | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Evansville | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Murray St | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Missouri St | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | N Iowa | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Drake | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 04/02 | Neutral | Utah | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| INST -13.0 | Open | -12.0 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1578 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:
- The team like Indiana St. won the game 1427 times (90.4%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 151 times (9.6%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 795-747-36 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3507 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1728-1707-72 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.0 | -13.0 | -- |
| Open | -13.0 | -13.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 06:37 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:28 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:04 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:03 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 02/07 03:52 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
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