NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING STJOE
Points 65.3 81.9
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 30.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.2
Shooting BING STJOE
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 59.6
Field Goal % 41.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 21.1
Free Throw % 66.4% 71.9%
Ball Control BING STJOE
Rebounds 34.9 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.0
Turnovers 11.9 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.5
Steals 4.1 6.9
Fouls 15.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING STJOE
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 71.9
% of Possessions with BING STJOE
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 33.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.7%
Turnover 16.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING STJOE
Shot Blocked 9.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.2%