NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING STON
Points 67.5 75.2
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 16.1
Shooting BING STON
Field Goals Made 24.2 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 58.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 12.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.1
Free Throw % 66.4% 72.8%
Ball Control BING STON
Rebounds 37.2 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.1
Turnovers 10.0 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.9
Steals 4.0 5.5
Fouls 15.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING STON
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 71.2
% of Possessions with BING STON
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.6%
Turnover 14.1% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING STON
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 22.7%