NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING BU
Points 67.1 68.3
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 23.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.3
Shooting BING BU
Field Goals Made 23.3 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 57.1
Field Goal % 44.2% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 19.8
Free Throw % 66.4% 72.2%
Ball Control BING BU
Rebounds 35.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.3
Steals 4.2 6.2
Fouls 14.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING BU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 68.9
% of Possessions with BING BU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 24.6% 21.6%
Turnover 15.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING BU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 23.3%