NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU OKST
Points 69.9 73.5
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 23.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.6
Shooting SHSU OKST
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 52.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 28.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 21.9
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.2%
Ball Control SHSU OKST
Rebounds 33.9 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.0
Turnovers 10.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.1
Steals 7.2 5.3
Fouls 16.6 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU OKST
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 66.3
% of Possessions with SHSU OKST
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.7%
Turnover 14.9% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU OKST
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 25.5%