NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU JVST
Points 75.3 71.4
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.0
Shooting SHSU JVST
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 55.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 68.2%
Ball Control SHSU JVST
Rebounds 35.8 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.3
Turnovers 10.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.7
Steals 5.6 5.4
Fouls 16.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU JVST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 69.6
% of Possessions with SHSU JVST
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 22.8%
Turnover 14.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU JVST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 26.5%