NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU JVST
Points 72.0 75.4
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.2
Shooting SHSU JVST
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 58.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 19.5
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.7%
Ball Control SHSU JVST
Rebounds 33.1 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.5
Turnovers 9.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 14.2 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Houston

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU JVST
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 71.0
% of Possessions with SHSU JVST
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.7%
Turnover 13.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU JVST
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 32.4%