NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU AMCC
Points 72.2 68.7
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 15.3
Points From Free Throws 18.4 16.6
Shooting SHSU AMCC
Field Goals Made 23.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 56.0
Field Goal % 44.6% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 18.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 23.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.6%
Ball Control SHSU AMCC
Rebounds 35.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.0
Turnovers 12.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 16.8 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU AMCC
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 70.5
% of Possessions with SHSU AMCC
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 21.2%
Player Fouled 27.6% 23.5%
Turnover 16.8% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU AMCC
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 27.7%