NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU TEX
Points 64.1 80.0
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.5
Shooting SHSU TEX
Field Goals Made 22.0 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 55.6
Field Goal % 38.3% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 61.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 76.5%
Ball Control SHSU TEX
Rebounds 32.1 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.2
Turnovers 11.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.8
Steals 5.3 5.9
Fouls 16.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU TEX
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 68.2
% of Possessions with SHSU TEX
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.1%
Turnover 16.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU TEX
Shot Blocked 8.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 27.7%