NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU UTA
Points 71.7 76.0
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 25.8
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.3
Shooting SHSU UTA
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 52.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 24.8
Free Throw % 72.3% 73.6%
Ball Control SHSU UTA
Rebounds 33.8 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.7
Turnovers 12.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.9
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 18.9 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU UTA
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 68.8
% of Possessions with SHSU UTA
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 32.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 26.4% 25.8%
Turnover 16.4% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU UTA
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 30.0%