NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU TTU
Points 68.1 79.9
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 26.4
Points From Free Throws 11.9 17.3
Shooting SHSU TTU
Field Goals Made 24.6 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 54.5
Field Goal % 41.1% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 22.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 78.5%
Ball Control SHSU TTU
Rebounds 33.4 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.8
Turnovers 10.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.7
Steals 5.0 5.2
Fouls 16.8 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU TTU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 68.3
% of Possessions with SHSU TTU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 19.9% 24.2%
Turnover 15.3% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU TTU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 29.0%