NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU UTRGV
Points 79.9 67.9
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 15.1
Points From Free Throws 14.6 17.2
Shooting SHSU UTRGV
Field Goals Made 29.3 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 53.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 14.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 24.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.1%
Ball Control SHSU UTRGV
Rebounds 39.3 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 6.9
Turnovers 11.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 6.6 5.9
Fouls 17.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU UTRGV
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 67.8
% of Possessions with SHSU UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 22.4%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.7%
Turnover 15.4% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU UTRGV
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 20.1%