NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU ACU
Points 75.0 71.0
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 16.4
Points From Free Throws 15.7 16.8
Shooting SHSU ACU
Field Goals Made 26.6 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 53.8
Field Goal % 46.6% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.9
Free Throw % 72.3% 73.4%
Ball Control SHSU ACU
Rebounds 36.8 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.4
Turnovers 12.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.2
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 17.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU ACU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 68.0
% of Possessions with SHSU ACU
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.4%
Turnover 16.9% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU ACU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 22.3%