NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU NEV
Points 63.5 75.4
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 19.7
Shooting SHSU NEV
Field Goals Made 21.1 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 48.8
Field Goal % 37.5% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 27.7
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.2%
Ball Control SHSU NEV
Rebounds 32.7 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.4
Turnovers 10.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.7
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 21.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU NEV
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 65.9
% of Possessions with SHSU NEV
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 24.0%
Player Fouled 24.0% 30.9%
Turnover 15.7% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU NEV
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 25.3%