NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN COR
Points 73.7 78.2
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 26.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.1
Shooting BRWN COR
Field Goals Made 25.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 59.5
Field Goal % 43.2% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 17.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 74.2%
Ball Control BRWN COR
Rebounds 37.8 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 9.1
Turnovers 12.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.6
Steals 5.6 7.6
Fouls 14.5 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN COR
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 70.1
% of Possessions with BRWN COR
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 33.3%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.2%
Turnover 16.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN COR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 27.2%