NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK SLU
Points 72.5 85.0
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 31.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 18.6
Shooting CARK SLU
Field Goals Made 24.8 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.8
Field Goal % 41.4% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 42.4%
Free Throws Made 14.0 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 24.7
Free Throw % 75.3% 75.1%
Ball Control CARK SLU
Rebounds 32.5 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 10.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.7
Steals 6.2 6.7
Fouls 16.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK SLU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 71.5
% of Possessions with CARK SLU
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 30.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 23.1%
Turnover 14.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK SLU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 28.1%