NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN CCSU
Points 71.0 66.3
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 17.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.4
Shooting BRWN CCSU
Field Goals Made 25.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.8
Free Throw % 65.0% 71.4%
Ball Control BRWN CCSU
Rebounds 39.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.5
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.3
Steals 5.5 6.7
Fouls 13.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN CCSU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 67.8
% of Possessions with BRWN CCSU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.0%
Turnover 16.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN CCSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 23.6%