NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU BEL
Points 70.7 77.0
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 28.7
Points From Free Throws 10.3 11.9
Shooting MOSU BEL
Field Goals Made 26.1 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 55.9
Field Goal % 45.6% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 10.3 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 17.2
Free Throw % 63.5% 69.0%
Ball Control MOSU BEL
Rebounds 34.4 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.1
Turnovers 13.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.9
Steals 7.0 6.7
Fouls 15.0 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU BEL
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 66.4
% of Possessions with MOSU BEL
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 31.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 21.5%
Turnover 18.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU BEL
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 26.1%