NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU BEL
Points 73.0 85.9
Total Points   158.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 28.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.4
Shooting MOSU BEL
Field Goals Made 23.8 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 52.9
Field Goal % 40.9% 56.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 68.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 23.8
Free Throw % 67.4% 69.1%
Ball Control MOSU BEL
Rebounds 31.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 7.3
Turnovers 10.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.4
Steals 6.6 5.0
Fouls 17.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU BEL
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 67.2
% of Possessions with MOSU BEL
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 28.6%
Player Fouled 23.3% 25.0%
Turnover 15.0% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU BEL
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.8%