NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MER ETSU
Points 69.0 70.9
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 20.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.5
Shooting MER ETSU
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 57.8
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 25.0
Free Throw % 67.9% 66.1%
Ball Control MER ETSU
Rebounds 33.8 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 14.9
Turnovers 10.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 6.0 6.4
Fouls 15.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MER ETSU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.8
% of Possessions with MER ETSU
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.7%
Turnover 15.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MER ETSU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 38.5%