NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU DRKE
Points 70.7 76.4
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 25.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 13.2
Shooting MOSU DRKE
Field Goals Made 25.7 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 62.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.9 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.6
Free Throw % 70.3% 74.8%
Ball Control MOSU DRKE
Rebounds 38.5 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.0
Turnovers 10.9 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.0
Steals 3.6 5.9
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU DRKE
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 72.8
% of Possessions with MOSU DRKE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.0%
Turnover 15.2% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 21.3%