NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG SCST
Points 70.2 76.2
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 10.5 18.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.8
Shooting MORG SCST
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 60.9
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 26.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 70.0%
Ball Control MORG SCST
Rebounds 31.8 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 17.2
Turnovers 15.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.3
Steals 5.9 8.5
Fouls 17.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG SCST
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 78.7
% of Possessions with MORG SCST
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.0% 19.8%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.1%
Turnover 20.6% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG SCST
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 43.2%