NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY OKST
Points 81.0 68.9
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.0
Shooting BAY OKST
Field Goals Made 29.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.9
Field Goal % 51.3% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 18.3
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.2%
Ball Control BAY OKST
Rebounds 35.7 27.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 7.5 5.8
Fouls 15.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY OKST
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 65.0
% of Possessions with BAY OKST
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 29.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.8%
Turnover 14.4% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY OKST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 21.5%