NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG COPP
Points 69.9 63.9
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 11.8 16.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.5
Shooting MORG COPP
Field Goals Made 25.3 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.8
Field Goal % 45.1% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 42.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.9 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.6%
Ball Control MORG COPP
Rebounds 38.7 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.8
Turnovers 14.6 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.0
Steals 7.3 7.8
Fouls 15.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG COPP
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.6
% of Possessions with MORG COPP
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 21.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.9%
Turnover 20.1% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG COPP
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 28.5%