NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO EWU
Points 79.0 83.3
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 28.3
Points From Free Throws 12.6 16.4
Shooting UNCO EWU
Field Goals Made 28.5 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 56.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.5%
Ball Control UNCO EWU
Rebounds 30.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.0
Steals 6.1 5.1
Fouls 18.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO EWU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 69.3
% of Possessions with UNCO EWU
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.0% 24.4%
Turnover 13.3% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO EWU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 22.9%