NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU UIC
Points 70.5 69.0
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 27.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 9.6
Shooting MOSU UIC
Field Goals Made 24.6 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 63.5
Field Goal % 41.7% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 15.6 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 13.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 68.8%
Ball Control MOSU UIC
Rebounds 42.8 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.3 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.9
Turnovers 10.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 6.1
Steals 4.3 5.7
Fouls 12.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU UIC
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 71.0
% of Possessions with MOSU UIC
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 32.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 16.8%
Turnover 15.1% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU UIC
Shot Blocked 9.9% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 19.7%