NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK STET
Points 70.5 80.9
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 33.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.8
Shooting CARK STET
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 57.9
Field Goal % 41.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 21.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 75.1%
Ball Control CARK STET
Rebounds 35.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.0
Turnovers 9.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 5.5 5.9
Fouls 15.8 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK STET
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 70.6
% of Possessions with CARK STET
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 34.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 22.5%
Turnover 13.4% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK STET
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 26.6%