NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG UMES
Points 70.7 68.3
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 10.8 15.4
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.4
Shooting MORG UMES
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 24.9% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 22.8
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.8%
Ball Control MORG UMES
Rebounds 37.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.5
Turnovers 12.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 5.9 7.1
Fouls 16.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG UMES
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 72.4
% of Possessions with MORG UMES
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 20.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.6%
Turnover 17.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG UMES
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 30.2%