NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN
Points 77.5 56.0
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 19.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 7.1
Shooting BRWN
Field Goals Made 27.9 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 54.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 7.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 11.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 60.7%
Ball Control BRWN
Rebounds 41.1 28.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 7.4
Turnovers 10.7 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.5
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 12.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 61.8
% of Possessions with BRWN
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 18.3%
Turnover 15.7% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 38.2% 20.8%