NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG DSU
Points 68.7 73.5
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 12.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 19.5
Shooting MORG DSU
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 12.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 27.0
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.3%
Ball Control MORG DSU
Rebounds 33.7 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.4
Turnovers 14.9 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 5.7 8.4
Fouls 17.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG DSU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 74.8
% of Possessions with MORG DSU
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 14.2%
Player Fouled 18.7% 23.4%
Turnover 20.1% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG DSU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 36.2%