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Baylor at Kansas
Sat Feb 27, 2021
8:00pm ET
Lawrence, KS
Baylor at Kansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 4.5, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | KU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 13-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 5-13-0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Kansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC Central | -30.5 | W by 43 | +12.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Manhattan | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kentucky | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Chaminade | -42.5 | W by 27 | -15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Marquette | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Tennessee | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | E Illinois | -38.5 | W by 8 | -30.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Connecticut | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Kansas City | -26.5 | W by 19 | -7.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Yale | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wichita St | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | TX Christian | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | UCF | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Oklahoma St | -7.0 | W by 24 | +17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | W Virginia | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cincinnati | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Iowa St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Oklahoma St | -14.5 | W by 29 | +14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Houston | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Baylor | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | L by 29 | -25.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 19 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | BYU | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Baylor | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kansas St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Houston | +7.5 | L by 30 | -22.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +3.0 | L by 20 | -17.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Samford | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| BAY -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1687 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1082 times (64.1%).
- The team like Kansas won the game 605 times (35.9%).
- The team like Kansas did better against the spread, going 832-831-24 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 644 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kansas did better against the spread, going 318-299-27 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 08:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 07:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 06:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 06:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 05:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 04:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 03:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 02:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 02:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/27 01:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:38 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/27 09:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 05:04 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 04:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 04:23 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 01:14 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/26 09:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/26 09:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/26 07:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
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