NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO TEX
Points 68.2 84.5
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 47.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 23.3
Points From Free Throws 10.9 13.7
Shooting UNCO TEX
Field Goals Made 25.3 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 61.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 10.9 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 17.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 76.5%
Ball Control UNCO TEX
Rebounds 29.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 8.7
Turnovers 11.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.3
Steals 4.7 6.9
Fouls 14.6 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO TEX
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 72.1
% of Possessions with UNCO TEX
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 25.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.3%
Turnover 16.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO TEX
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 27.2%