NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK SFA
Points 66.6 78.1
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 24.2
Points From Free Throws 15.9 19.7
Shooting CARK SFA
Field Goals Made 21.4 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 56.6
Field Goal % 41.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.9 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 28.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 70.3%
Ball Control CARK SFA
Rebounds 32.2 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.5
Turnovers 16.9 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.6
Steals 6.8 9.8
Fouls 19.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK SFA
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 74.2
% of Possessions with CARK SFA
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 25.7%
Turnover 22.8% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK SFA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 34.6%