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Baylor at W Virginia
Tue Mar 2, 2021
5:00pm ET
Morgantown, WV
Baylor at W Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 4, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | WVU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 13-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 7-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 5-9-0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
W Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Missouri St | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Monmouth | -14.5 | L by 8 | -22.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | S Methodist | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Virginia | +9.5 | L by 2 | +7.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Bellarmine | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St Johns | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Drexel | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | U Mass | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Radford | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Toledo | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Ohio St | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | +20.0 | L by 34 | -14.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Kansas St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Texas | +6.0 | W by 3 | +9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Oklahoma | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Kansas | +10.0 | W by 6 | +16.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | UCF | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma St | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Cincinnati | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | BYU | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas | +13.0 | L by 36 | -23.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | TX Christian | +13.0 | L by 16 | -3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Baylor | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | UCF | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Iowa St | +18.0 | L by 7 | +11.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Kansas St | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | TX Christian | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +11.0 | L by 36 | -25.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| BAY -4.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2052 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1233 times (60.1%).
- The team like West Virginia won the game 819 times (39.9%).
- The team like West Virginia did better against the spread, going 1016-996-40 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 667 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like West Virginia did better against the spread, going 327-313-27 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/02 04:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/02 04:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:17 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/02 12:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/02 12:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/02 11:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:08 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/01 11:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/01 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/01 05:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/01 04:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/01 04:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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