NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY WVU
Points 84.0 70.8
Total Points   154.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 21.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.0
Shooting BAY WVU
Field Goals Made 28.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 53.7
Field Goal % 49.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 70.4%
Ball Control BAY WVU
Rebounds 36.5 28.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 6.7
Turnovers 9.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 7.0 4.3
Fouls 16.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Baylor

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY WVU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 65.5
% of Possessions with BAY WVU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.8%
Turnover 13.5% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY WVU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 20.9%