NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MER KENN
Points 79.8 77.2
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 22.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.0
Shooting MER KENN
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 59.3
Field Goal % 46.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 25.3
Free Throw % 67.9% 67.1%
Ball Control MER KENN
Rebounds 37.8 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.6
Turnovers 10.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.8
Steals 6.0 6.1
Fouls 18.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MER KENN
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 74.6
% of Possessions with MER KENN
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 26.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.1%
Turnover 14.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MER KENN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 28.3%