NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU EVAN
Points 72.2 66.4
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.7 10.2
Shooting MOSU EVAN
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 61.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 12.7 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 14.6
Free Throw % 70.3% 69.9%
Ball Control MOSU EVAN
Rebounds 41.9 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 31.4 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.6
Turnovers 10.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.4
Steals 4.5 5.9
Fouls 13.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU EVAN
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 69.6
% of Possessions with MOSU EVAN
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.7% 18.8%
Turnover 15.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU EVAN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 19.5%