NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU L-IL
Points 65.9 70.6
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.7
Shooting MOSU L-IL
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 62.0
Field Goal % 39.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 67.6%
Ball Control MOSU L-IL
Rebounds 39.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.3
Turnovers 11.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 5.3 6.1
Steals 4.2 6.7
Fouls 14.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU L-IL
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 71.6
% of Possessions with MOSU L-IL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 24.0% 20.2%
Turnover 16.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU L-IL
Shot Blocked 10.1% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 23.7%